Affichage des archives de lundi, 17 juin 2002
Rapport d'activité solaire
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport d'activité solaire et géophysique 2002 Jun 17 2200 UTC
Fait par le NOAA © SWPC et adapté par SpaceWeatherLive.comRapport de l'USAF/NOAA sur l'activité solaire et géophysique
SDF numéro 168 publié à 2200Z le 17 Jun 2002
IA. Analyse des régions solaires actives et activité du 16-2100Z au 17-2100Z
Solar activity has been low. Only minor C-class events
were observed during the period.
IB. Prévisions d'activité solaire
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Résumé de l'activité géophysique du 16-2100Z au 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Prévision de l'activité géophysique
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to active conditions
are possible on 19-20 June due to a well positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilité d'éruption solaire du 18 Jun au 20 Jun
Classe M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Classe X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Flux Penticton 10.7 cm
Observé 17 Jun 143
Prévisionnel 18 Jun-20 Jun 145/145/150
Moyenne des 90 derniers jours 17 Jun 178
V. Indice géomagnetique A
Observé Afr/Ap 16 Jun 007/011
Estimé Afr/Ap 17 Jun 005/009
Prévisionnel Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun 005/008-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilités d'activité géomagnétique du 18 Jun au 20 Jun
A. Latitudes moyennes |
Actif | 15% | 15% | 20% |
Tempête mineure | 05% | 05% | 10% |
Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Hautes latitudes |
Actif | 20% | 20% | 25% |
Tempête mineure | 05% | 10% | 10% |
Tempête majeure/sévère | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PLAIN
This message is for users of the NOAA/SEC Space
Weather Operations sunspot region numbers. As you
may have noticed, we are steadily approaching
region number 10000. The plan for Space Weather
operations is to go through the sequence of Region
numbers as 9998, 9999, 0000, 0001, and so on. SEC's
product text discussions of the active regions
will ignore the leading zeroes (for example, we
will say 'Region number 5' rather than Region
number '0005'). However, the Geoalert product, the
Region Report product, as well as the USAF and IUWDS
data exchange codes will preserve the 4 digit format.
The necessity of using four digits is for operational
purposes only. For historical purposes all regions
beyond Region 9999 will be understood to be in a
series of region numbers 10000 and higher.
Toutes les heures sont indiquées en UTC
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