Viewing archive of Wednesday, 1 April 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 Apr 01 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 091 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Apr 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on 02 April. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 03-04 April, with a slight chance of active to minor storm periods at high latitudes.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Apr to 04 Apr
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Apr 071
  Predicted   02 Apr-04 Apr  072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        01 Apr 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 31 Mar  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Apr  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Apr-04 Apr  005/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Apr to 04 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm01%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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