Viewing archive of Sunday, 1 July 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Jul 01 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low. There remains a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 961 (S10W04).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the forecast period, July 02 - 04.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Jul 074
  Predicted   02 Jul-04 Jul  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        01 Jul 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun  004/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Jul  004/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul  004/005-004/008-004/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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